Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 437.747067 497.354701 563.392396 642.202059 733.982038 837.835149 964.728898
2026-01-18 341.395813 417.474815 509.233920 628.925185 782.197015 973.591743 1233.354113
2026-01-25 288.916733 370.186871 473.694319 616.797502 812.032600 1072.757621 1453.531998
2026-02-01 261.594471 348.512912 464.406712 632.793965 875.485008 1219.317175 1755.588221
2026-02-08 234.797445 323.003526 445.157454 630.174439 909.531360 1325.929838 2013.768920
2026-02-15 212.123671 300.013778 425.806407 623.419419 934.376142 1419.517621 2263.983818
2026-02-22 196.276889 284.779856 415.370747 627.639309 974.929808 1540.866796 2577.123692
2026-03-01 179.405632 266.114939 397.493692 617.521860 990.128018 1621.398643 2831.454798
2026-03-08 166.235032 251.728099 384.527793 613.318060 1013.716842 1717.976480 3129.590492
2026-03-15 150.920412 232.549508 362.041670 590.569651 1001.946791 1749.347548 3307.073039
2026-03-22 145.865073 229.322577 364.981081 611.212129 1069.396545 1934.452503 3823.811698
2026-03-29 141.951025 227.546169 370.007800 635.783951 1146.755455 2149.058882 4443.826127
2026-04-05 134.316176 219.085014 363.200727 638.824599 1184.744744 2293.926165 4947.291758
2026-04-12 124.868257 206.783540 348.657460 625.984704 1189.950738 2372.328617 5315.006115
2026-04-19 116.503207 195.701191 335.293370 613.874923 1194.835161 2450.187704 5697.045044
2026-04-26 112.833845 192.669888 336.259034 629.790546 1260.191892 2671.679467 6493.429631
2026-05-03 107.014380 185.273804 328.451390 627.184441 1285.100995 2804.073312 7084.435679
2026-05-10 101.183792 177.425268 319.131609 620.466412 1299.912847 2914.579188 7640.862983
2026-05-17 97.126883 172.600200 315.226130 624.663260 1340.037261 3093.467576 8441.185483
2026-05-24 91.779530 164.944121 305.160765 614.600981 1345.423486 3185.013035 8999.418038
2026-05-31 87.476332 159.017907 298.096144 610.420063 1364.422135 3315.321836 9715.771680
2026-06-07 81.599817 149.643636 283.384393 587.795064 1335.326955 3311.525942 9988.255367
2026-06-14 80.392829 149.440953 287.482534 608.325587 1417.462395 3630.068651 11462.361770